Casual Soapbox is a blog, the purpose of which is to provide me with a venue to expound upon politics, popular culture, religion, humor, and any other topic that boils my blood. I'd love to say I have big plans for this site, but I don't, except to bloviate pompously, deprecate myself and others, practice my verbal skills, and pathetically imitate popular people I admire. So, if any of that appeals to you, this blog's for you!
- Name: Abram
- Location: Austin, Texas, United States
He's just this guy, you know?
Tuesday, October 31, 2006
Monday, October 30, 2006
TX-Gov: Zogby Shows Tightening Race
Perry (R) 36.7%
Bell (D) 28.5%
Strayhorn (I) 15.0%
Friedman (I) 14.4%
It's an 8.2 point race! That's actually the closest I've seen any candidate to Perry in a long time. Bell's second place showing is clearly in line with other (less questionable) polls. That, at least, is good news. I'm holding out for a miracle here.
Cook On the Wave
With the election just eight days away, there are no signs that this wave is abating. Barring a dramatic event, we are looking at the prospect of GOP losses in the House of at least 20 to 35 seats, possibly more, and at least four in the Senate, with five or six most likely.
If independents vote in fairly low numbers, as is customary in midterm elections, losses in the House will be on the lower end of that range. But if they turn out at a higher than normal level, their strong preference for Democrats in most races would likely push the GOP House losses to or above the upper levels.
The dynamics we are seeing this year are eerily similar to those in 1994. The President and party are different, so are the issues, but the dynamics are comparable.
I can't wait for election night...
National Election Sites I Like
- Cook Political Report
- Rothenberg Political Report
- Daily Kos
- Political Wire
- CQ Politics
- Sabato's Crystal Ball
- DC Political Report
- TPM Cafe Election Central
- Rasmussen Reports
I'm sure I'm forgetting some. If you know of any I missed, please leave them in the comments.
Saturday, October 28, 2006
As you all know, there's an election on, and that means all sorts of silly and remarkable things are happening. For example, 30% of all state legislative candidates are running unopposed. In North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, and Arkansas, it rises to 50% or more. That's some election, isn't it, when there's only one choice?
Republicans in Florida are pulling a vote switcheroo, allowing voters to select disgraced non-candidate Mark Foley, and yet have their vote count for someone entirely different. They just won the right to post signs informing voters of their nefarious plans. How can this possibly be constitutional? People's votes should count for who they vote for, and no one else.
Barbara Ann Radnofsky, the Democratic candidate for Senate in Texas, was challenged to a Blackberry typing contest by ABC News and she won (Video). It wasn't close. If only elections could be won that way... (hat tip to BOR)
The best-looking congressional candidate this year is Democrat Scott Kleeb, who's put together a strong campaign in Nebraska's third congressional district, the seat of Rep. Tom Osborne, who challenged incumbent Republican governor Dave Heineman in the primary and lost. That's right, you heard me earlier. There are Democrats in Nebraska. And the fact that they're putting together strong challenges in Nebraska is a sign of just how powerful the anti-Republican mood is right now.
And amazingly, the approval ratings of Alaska's Republican governor Frank Murkowski have sunk to the point where he now less popular that Gov. Bob Taft of Ohio. My lord.
Wow that feels good to write again...