CA-50: Republicans Hold On
Republican lobbyist and former Rep. Brian Bilbray has won the special election in California's 50th congressional district 49.33% to Democrat Francine Busby's 45.46%. This was corrupt Republican Rep. Randy "Duke" Cunningham's district. Apparently, the politics of immigration trumped the "culture of corruption" in this case.
CA-50 was rated tossup by the Cook Political Report before yesterday, and is now rated Likely Republican. But back when Cook, along with Sabato and CQ Politics, all rated CA-50 "Leans Republican", I wrote a post entitled CA-50: A Test of Conventional Wisdom, in which I argued that a win for Republicans in CA-50 would mean there would be a cap of a 19-seat gain, if the conventional wisdom was to be believed. I suppose it will be interesting to see if that little mental experiment bears out in November. I'll be keeping tabs.
CA-50 was rated tossup by the Cook Political Report before yesterday, and is now rated Likely Republican. But back when Cook, along with Sabato and CQ Politics, all rated CA-50 "Leans Republican", I wrote a post entitled CA-50: A Test of Conventional Wisdom, in which I argued that a win for Republicans in CA-50 would mean there would be a cap of a 19-seat gain, if the conventional wisdom was to be believed. I suppose it will be interesting to see if that little mental experiment bears out in November. I'll be keeping tabs.
posted by Abram | 9:36 PM
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