Casual Soapbox

Casual Soapbox is a blog, the purpose of which is to provide me with a venue to expound upon politics, popular culture, religion, humor, and any other topic that boils my blood. I'd love to say I have big plans for this site, but I don't, except to bloviate pompously, deprecate myself and others, practice my verbal skills, and pathetically imitate popular people I admire. So, if any of that appeals to you, this blog's for you!

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Location: Austin, Texas, United States

He's just this guy, you know?

Thursday, November 17, 2005

Today in Politics: My Take

Today in Politics:

Harris Poll: Bush at 34% approval, 65% disapproval, tying Nixon's worst disapproval rating.
Washington Post: House Democrats defeat spending bill.
Stakeholder: Congressman John Murtha (D-PA) introduces a resolution for withdrawal from Iraq.
Rothenberg: Kilgore lost Virginia on his own. Republicans will still have problems in 2006.
CNN: Democrats very concerned by Alito's abortion position.
365Gay: Massachusetts gay marriage foe to retire.
365Gay: Gays' parental rights safe in Ohio.
Rasmussen: OH-Gov: Strickland (D) 42% Blackwell (R) 36%


My take: Bush is in some dangerous waters. Although past presidents have recovered from approval ratings like his, no past president has recovered from a disapproval rating like his. I'm glad to hear Democrats are defeating Republicans on the budget, mostly because that is as clear a sign of Republican disarray as one could ask for. Rep. Murtha calling for a withdrawal is a big big deal. Why? Because Murtha is a respected Democratic hawk who had supported the war. This should open up a lot of Democrats to be able to call for a withdrawal from Iraq. The question is, what about Hillary? Kilgore did lose Virginia himself. The primary responsibility for any loss rests with the candidate. But Bush was clearly a drag on Kilgore, especially in the suburbs. And the fact that a candidate as liberal as Leslie Byrne nearly won the lieutenant governorship of Virginia should worry Republicans more than Kaine's victory. Alito looks like a vote to overturn Roe. Democrats should vote against him. But should they filibuster to block him? I don't know. Bush could just pick someone worse, like Janice Rogers Brown or Priscilla Owen. I think Democrats would probably get the best mileage out of the nomination by voting as a bloc to oppose him without filibustering. Unless of course they could defeat him on the Senate floor. Massachusetts looks less and less likely to get rid of gay marriage. Ohio looks like it is minimizing the effects of the constitutional ban on gay marriage they passed last year. And Ohio also looks more likely than not to elect a Democratic governor next year. And that's my take.

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